Fundamental Analysis
If you new to the forex business "fundamental
analysis" is one that is weird. You may not be
so familiar about what is fundamental analysis and why
he needed this in the forex business. If needed, how
much should be fundamental instruments used in trading?
What size?
Okay for beginners colleagues, I will try to discuss
a bit about the term "Fundamental Analysis"
with the meaning you can understand about your business
that will do.
Okay let's just start, taking a fundamental approach
to analysis based on the news or rumor is circulating.
As we know together, such as financial exchange and
money market shares are very sensitive to the news that
are circulating in the market.
In general, the analysis on forex trading consists
of two parts namely technical
analysis and fundamental
analysis. Analysis of technical base with the calculation
of mathematical analysis (usually using statistical
data) and using the chart (chart - that is the usual
technical analysis called chartist) as the main weapon.
Fundamental analysis to take a different approach.
Basis used is the news or rumor circulating in the market.
As we know together, such as financial exchange and
money market shares are very sensitive to the news that
are circulating in the market. Thus going to the forex
trading market. Even now it can be said that the menggerakan
exchange is exactly the news itself. In other words,
the news is of an emotional market changing the balance
point on the currency.
If you are a commoner, we may not be too concerned
with the increase in U.S. interest rates for example.
But not for a trader. The increase in interest rates
by Central Bank The Fed (U.S. bank sentralnya) can mean
that the strong U.S. dollars to hundreds of a point
means that the money can be obtained therein. Or vice
versa, losses may occur if action is not taken in accordance
with the market.
That's why news is affecting the investment portfolio
of a forex trader. If you want to be a reliable trader,
it is now time for you also learn fundamental analysis.
Example of interest rate increase over just one example
of the fundamental news in the regular release every
day. Well, why the interest rate increase could mean
the currency and what the impact on my investment, it
is that you need to learn.
There is a logical flow and the laws of economics apply
here (although sometimes not 100% valid - analysis fundamental
fact associated not only with the logical reasoning
of monetary policy or the news out, but also how the
market reacts to news or market psychology).
Source, type, and the key factor in Fundamental Analysis
News that can be issued various survey results, even
up to a monetary policy that is incidental events such
as terrorism. Information can be obtained / issued through:
- Official Institutions / Government
- Print media / electronic (TV, website, newspaper,
etc.)
- Individual
There are more than 50 news that could affect currency
movements. From news to 50, the effect is quite clear
that is caused or ride down to the currency of the country.
Fundamental news that is positive on the country that
issued the currency means that countries concerned will
be strong and the currency weakened party.
For example in the currency GBP / USD, if the U.S.
raised the level of the tribe of the interest rates
(again I take the example that the interest rate) then
the exchange rate will be strong against the Dollar
Pounds Sterling. And that means Pound weakened against
the Dollar as a news release by the U.S. are positive
towards currency.
For this type of news, there is some kind of news if
viewed from the field:
- Economy
- Politics
- Security (global, regional, country)
Determines in its fundamental analysis:
- Speed information
- Source of information
- Information processing & forecasting (prediction)
Advantages and Disadvantages of fundamental
analysts
Excess:
- Easy
- Can determine the global price
- Determines long-term trend (long term)
- In some cases effective for short term trading
Disadvantages:
- Can not determine the exact
- Eat a lot of time in search of news sources
- Subjective, too many assumptions to be used
Analysis of the most important thing about driving
is as Fundamental Price! Of not yet ..
Talk about the economy and how the market reacts to
news is not talking about right and wrong or talk about
the logic that should occur.
That is about market psychology. About the millions
of people in the psychology of this world. All you need
to understand is that the market does not care about
the economic book that you read or who have a tendency
over time. For example: The increase in interest rates.
In the history and lessons we learn during this, if
the interest rate a country to increase the lead to
this quickly currency of the country become strong.
But do always so? The answer is not! Ok, Let's take
an example; At The Fed raised U.S. interest rates by
25 bp, to know what's going on? The weakening United
States dollar! Most beginners do not understand why
it can happen. In the beginning I was not. But in fact
happens is that the market reacts to the interest rate
increase this time because the Fed has given the signal
a few days earlier and the increase has occurred several
times. But who would suspect that when such news is
not showing?
Location of the point where the balance occurs. Fundamental
indicator is triggered price movements. But only in
the form of price and the seller. That is needed is
to know the buyer and seller reactions to the news that
the majority appear. Can be said too often this is a
fake because it is not easy. There are millions of parties
in the exchange of foreign currency and to predict the
majority of their work is not that easy.
That's why the day traders often make the news not
as a fundamental decision determines Buy / Sell them
but more as a reference of what will happen to the price.
They use technical analysis in taking a position that
is due to be more exact, so clear.
Ok, here may have to appear in a discourse of yourself.
Subject which is better, I think no one is better between
technical and fundamental. But I wanted to emphasize
here is that both can not stand on its own and must
be used to cover each others weaknesses.
All of it depends on you, as I often say that the decisions
that are in the your own. Trading with the art and have
a distinctive style so you can find your own style of
trading often with exercise. And if you have found the
style of trading that is often called the Trading Style,
you will undoubtedly have success in this business forex.
Hopefully useful to all
of us ..
Click the register when
you are ready!
|